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Lopsided Fantasy Football Trades & How To Spot These Trades
Filed Under (football) by Lightfoot Simmons on 18-09-2008
Tagged Under : carson palmer, chad johnson, fantasy football, fantasy football trades, fantasy sports, fantasy sports trades, james jones, lopsided fantasy football trades, michael pittman, nfl roster depth charts, pierre thomas, robert royal, roster depth charts, unfair fantasy football trades
Today, I thought I would teach everyone how to spot lopsided fantasy football trades in your league as we all know they tend to get accepted / proposed by fantasy football “rookie” managers from time to time.
One of the main reason you need to be able to spots these types of trades is the fact that they can make the “winning” team in the trade overly dominate in your fantasy football league. Another reason you need to be aware of these unfair fantasy football trades is the fact that they make the trade for one week and then the next week they trade back their fantasy football players. usually this is due to helping each other out with their bye weeks.
The example that I’m going to use today as our lopsided fantasy football trade is one that was proposed by a “rookie” team manager (one to three years experience in fantasy sports) and accepted by a “veteran” team manager (three to five years experience in fantasy sports) in a league that I am currently participating in just after Week 2 concluded in our 2008 fantasy football season. This traded was vetoed by me as well as enough owners to block the trade.
The Trade Details
Team A (Rookie Manager) sends the following players to Team B (Veteran Manager):
Carson Palmer (Cin - QB) | Chad Johnson (Cin - WR) | Robert Royal (Buf - TE)
Team B (Veteran Manager) sends the following players to Team A (Rookie Manager):
Pierre Thomas (NO - RB) | Michael Pittman (Den - RB) | James Jones (GB - WR)
Why This Lopsided Trade Was Proposed
Do you have an idea on why this fantasy football trade was proposed? Well, lets analyze the Year To Date stats for each player so far during the 2008 NFL season.
| Year to Date | |||||||||
| Player Name |
Passing Yds | Passing TDs | Passing Ints | Rushing Yds | Rushing TDs | Receiving Yds | Receiving TDs | Fumbles | Fantasy Points |
| TEAM A | |||||||||
| Royal, Robert TE BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 52 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| Johnson, Chad WR CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
| Palmer, Carson QB CIN | 233 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| TEAM B | |||||||||
| Pittman, Michael RB DEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 |
| Thomas, Pierre RB NO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 1 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 14 |
| Jones, James WR GB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 1 | 0 | 8 |
I can see why this rookie manager thought it was a good trade merely based on points. Based on the points alone, he was getting three fantasy football players that have outscored the players that he was giving up. Actually, Pittman alone has scored more points so far than his three players combined. But, you can’t just base this trade on two weeks of stats alone. Some players are known to start the season slow due to them not playing much during the preseason to avoid injuries and thus they’re out of sync with your teammates. Plus, you have to base the trade on what these players have done in the past.
Why This Is A Lopsided Trade
So why do I consider this a lopsided trade and why did I veto the trade? Well lets analyze the Three Year Average stats for each player.
| Three Year Averages | |||||||||
| Player Name |
Passing Yds | Passing TDs | Passing Ints | Rushing Yds | Rushing TDs | Receiving Yds | Receiving TDs | Fumbles | Fantasy Points |
| TEAM A | |||||||||
| Palmer, Carson QB CIN | 4001 | 29 | 15 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 298 |
| Johnson, Chad WR CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 0 | 1414 | 8 | 1 | 174 |
| Royal, Robert TE BUF | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | 0 | 204 | 2 | 1 | 26 |
| TEAM B | |||||||||
| Jones, James WR GB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 676 | 2 | 2 | 72 |
| Pittman, Michael RB DEN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 323 | 1 | 299 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Thomas, Pierre RB NO | 0 | 0 | 0 | 251 | 1 | 152 | 1 | 0 | 30 |
After reviewing the three year averages of these six players, you can see that clearly Team A was giving up way too much in this trade. Chad Johnson alone has averaged more fantasy points during the last three years than all of the fantasy football players combined from Team B. The numbers that Carson Palmer and Chad Johnson have averaged over the last three years are Pro Bowl type numbers. What else should this rookie manager have considered?
Additional Facts To Consider
Something else fantasy football managers can research are the roster depth charts for each NFL team. This will show you exactly where these players are ranked on their team’s depth chart. For instance, using the link above you can see that Carson Palmer is #1 QB for Cincinnati, Chad Johnson is the #1 WR for Cincinnati while James Jones is the #3 WR for Green Bay, Michael Pittman is the #3 RB for Denver and Pierre Thomas is the #2 RB for New Orleans. If you’re not the #1 starter for a team, it’s very unlikely that a #2 to #5 player is going to outscore a #1 player unless that #1 player gets injured.
Conclusion
It’s important for everyone to really research their trades that they are about to accept so they can be sure they are trading for players that will actually help their fantasy football team. Also, if after reviewing the trade you still are not sure whether it’s a beneficial trade for you, feel free to consult other managers in your league that are willing to help you out.
It’s important for league managers to make sure lopsided trades do not impact the league in a negative way as you risk damaging the league and having majority of the managers not be interested in finishing out the fantasy football season. This is not fun at all! Keep this in mind the next time you’re about to accept a trade; make sure it’s actually the right move for you to make.
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